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Wednesday, October 21, 2020

How Would we Trade with Aliens?



I run a small business.  After three years of this I realized the business had grown beyond my abilities to manage it.  It was time to get an MBA.  I enrolled in The University of Connecticut's Executive MBA program.  It was great.  I was an enthusiastic learner.  I had a lot riding on the outcome.  I completed my graduate degree near the top of my class.

Much of the credit goes to luck of the draw with an outstanding cohort of fellow students.  We shared work, leaning on each other's existing professional competencies.  We also shared many drinks, laughs, and a class trip to South Africa.  My team was awesome!  Much additional credit goes to some outstanding professors.  They were not all winners but nearly all of them were a real credit to their profession, people who could teach at more prestigious universities if they wanted but for whatever reason had found a home at UConn.

One professor who stood out amongst this elite cadre was Dr. John Glascock.  He teaches Economics.  Students appreciated his deep knowledge of Economics and its relationship to our everyday lives.  Moreso, we loved his energy and delivery.  He was not your typical professor by any means.  He had style, not from a fashion sense, but in the way he conveyed somewhat mundane content in a manner that made it interesting.  My class voted him our favorite professor.  Other professors looked askance and grumbled as he accepted his award at our graduation ceremony.

How Would we Trade with Aliens?
Dr. John Glascock, Professor of Economics

As I sat at my desk preparing this blog post about trading with aliens a few weeks ago I thought I should reach out to an expert on Economics.  Even though this blog is my philosophy, I want to back up my hypotheses with facts, valid sources, and expert testimony whenever possible.  I want to bridge conjecture and reality.  Maybe, one source will even prove me wrong or at least give me some ideas I had not yet thought of.  I decided to use my professional network to find such a person.

The first step in finding an expert in a certain profession is to check LinkedIn.  I have many thousands of contacts on LinkedIn.  I quickly located a few folks who looked like they would be able to weigh in with credibility.  After telling each one that I write a blog about Alien Philosophy, one did not respond, one declined, and the third referred me to someone who would be "a better fit" with "the right kind of experience."  Uh-huh...  That guy declined too.  It was like I have said in previous articles, most people in Academia lack the courage, or perhaps the imagination, to pontificate on the subject of life elsewhere in the Universe.

I pushed my wheelie chair back from my desk, leaned back, and interlaced my fingers behind my head.  I stared at the sky through the big picture window in front of me.  I thought and I thought and I thought.  That window has a crack in it, I thought.  I should get that fixed.  Maybe I should wash it too before it gets too cold out.

Then I thought, what Economist would be brave enough to have an intellectual conversation with me about aliens?  With whom could I broach this subject without derision?  Oh, I know, Ben Stein!  But I do not actually know Ben Stein or how to contact him.  Scratch that.  Oh!  Why did I not think of this before?  John Glascock!


How Would we Trade with Aliens?


Contact with aliens could happen at any moment.  Or it could never happen.  I was a boy scout.  I like to Be Prepared.  When the pandemic hit and everyone was scrambling to acquire toilet paper, Clorox Wipes, hand sanitizer, N95 facemasks, latex gloves, and canned goods, I had all of that.  I had had it for years.  Just before Lockdown I went out for bread, milk, and bananas, and that was it.  I did not know I would need all that stuff for something that would come to be called COVID-19.  I just knew I might possibly need it someday.

I have a plan for what to do in case there is a fire in my house.  I practice the plan with my kids.  I yell, "Fire!  Fire!  Fire!" and they all crouch down and head to the nearest safe exit.  I have a plan for tornados - we go to the Zombie Apocalypse Shelter.  I have a plan for a home invasion.  Watch out!  We are ready for anything. 

When alien contact occurs I want to be prepared for that too.  I want to have a plan in place - not for if they were to show up at the house.  I do not know what I would do then.  Maybe I would serve coffee - the good kind.  And I would put out those hand towels my wife never lets me use and the soap that looks like little rosebuds.  But what I am really talking about is a plan for interacting with aliens on a societal level.  As a businessman, I want to establish trade relations with them.  Is that not the first step?

Throughout history, traders have often been the first people to establish relations with other civilizations.  Think Marco Polo, the British East India Company, Dutch West India Company, French fur trappers, pirates.  The United States was founded on Jeffersonian principals of free trade amongst the states and with other countries.  We fought America's first foreign war over free trade.  Traders may be the first alien explorers to reach out to humans.

If we establish trade relations with aliens we will need to establish a means of exchange, a currency or a barter plan.  I have actually taught a college course on Money and Banking so I know a little bit about this myself.  Barter is great when you have only two or three products or services to trade.  It breaks down when multiple products are introduced because the permutations grow exponentially as you add products.  Currency (or money) is better for large-scale trade.  Currency does not have to be paper money or even gold.  It just needs to be something that is considered valuable by each interested party, is not easily reproduced, and is in limited supply.  The best example of non-monetary currency is cigarettes in prisons.

I did not want to simply cite myself for this article.  Despite better than average knowledge of this subject it is not something I have done deep analysis on.  I do not practice Economics.  Dr. John Glascock does.

I spoke with Dr. Glascock via video conference in September 2020.  I began the conversation by establishing my history with Unidentified and this blog and then I just threw it out there.  I asked John, "If we were to make Contact, how would we establish trade relations with them?"  

John sat back.  He said, "Mmm, OK."  He pushed at the inside of his cheek with his tongue in an effort to hold for dear life.  He cocked his head to one side to listen more carefully.

He did not try to end the conversation so I continued, "We don't have a common currency.  Maybe they have gold?"  I shrugged my shoulders, "Maybe they have something else we could use as a currency?"  John was still with me, nodding, taking it all in.  I looked up to think.  "What I'd like to do is, use examples, historic examples, of you know, how do we trade with third-world nations or, " I swallowed hard, "Maybe Communist countries or places that lack hard currency or much currency but maybe have some natural resources, maybe have something else that we can use as a currency or as a mechanism for trade."

Interplanetary Trade
You want to talk about Aliens???

Clearly, from the picture above, I had gone to the right guy.  Dr. Glascock let me know that while this area of Economics was not his specialty it was part of the foundation of Economics which all Economists share.  He could respond with authority.  "In our world there would be two reasons to trade.  One is, [third-world countries] want some advanced technology.  Maybe they wanted a steel plow, back in England's day, and we wanted cheaper wheat, which they were making, or potatoes.  So they would trade us a lot of potatoes and we'd trade them the steel plow."

Dr. Glascock offers an exception where the US buys oil from OPEC countries with cash but generally the deal is the advanced country will trade technologically superior products for cheap commodities.  So far, we are in lock step, moving towards a parallel with Earth being the third-world country and any alien civilization being the more advanced country.

"The second trade," he goes on, "Governments want information about the other country.  We want to trade enough with Russia or China or ever who it is, so that we collect information."  He gives examples of working with wealthy business people to help them make money and in the process we ask them to reveal what they know about the goings-on of their country.  This is not necessarily secret information but still intelligence that benefits our country.  Giving products or technology to the people of the other country creates a relationship which enables us to get what we want, information.  Other countries, no doubt, do this to us and everyone else too, if they can.

Given these two reasons for a country like the US to trade with say Vietnam, John then moves on to how this might work with Earth and another planet.  "It's not likely to be commodities in the normal sense."  He says our would-be trading partners are so far away, "They have to have technologies that can kind of bend the space-time continuum in order to get here."  

I have said many times in this blog, "If they can get from there to here (wherever there is) they can..."  Then I will give examples of what a highly advanced civilization might be able to do.  

Dr. Glascock has this same understanding.  If they can perhaps warp space, allowing them to get here in a reasonable amount of time, "They have technology that I suspect allows them to make any kind of commodity they want."  OK, I did not see that coming, John.  At this point the premise of my article is beginning to come off the rails.  But I am intrigued.  I want to hear more.

David Marceau Thinking
Me thinking, how do I phrase this?  Um... Aliens!

John thinks we Earthans may get to that point too within 200-1000 years, depending on how much money government is willing to put into this, "To help us crack some of the things."  If we can print products using 3D printers, we can print food or anything else - not today, but soon.  "It's kind of like they do in Star Trek, you know, they used to have that little place you went, and pushed a couple buttons, and you got your meal.  Now, that's coming."  

If a visiting civilization is already at that point, Dr. Glascock says, "I suspect no normal commodity is tradable.  So most likely what they would want is they're observing us to see our behavior so they could understand us like we would like to do to Russia or China."

It is then revealed that John has read quite a bit of science fiction, especially Isaac Asimov's writings.  He has based his economic views of interplanetary trade on the suppositions of Asimov.  "I love good science fiction, it's just one of my hobbies."  He says, if they can get from there to here, "It's unlikely they want to trade with us."  In other words, "No one who can get to us wants to trade with us."

I was surprised to hear this because I have assumed that perhaps there is a dying planet out there somewhere and they want our water.  Then you have the old Twilight Zone episode, To Serve Man, where the aliens want to herd us off to their planet so they can eat us.  This was the premise of the miniseries V, as well.  You could even look at the absurdist comedy Space Balls where one planet wants to steal the other planet's air.  These are all a part of my foundation of what alien contact might bring.

V for Victory
Remember V?

Dr. Glascock is an academic.  He reads books - lots of them.  His foundation on alien Contact is different from mine.  He says, "Now they do want to observe us because we are a damned good experiment to observe 'cause we're likely not as advanced as them but we likely evolved different than they did.  And they want to study us the way we would study monkeys in Africa.  What they would try to do is do it without intervening, though, because that," he chuckles, "Messes up the project, right?  If they let you know too much that they're there we might change our behavior."

Video - Economist Dr. John Glascock on Interplanetary Trade

I am not saying I agree with my friend John, but let us say his assertion is true.  That answers one question for many people on #UFOTwitter while opening up a new one.  The question it answers is the one I have posed on this blog many times, Why are They hiding from us?  I have asked this so many times I decided to name the question The Marceau Paradox * word *.  Perhaps the reason they, aliens, do not want to be detected is because they simply want to watch us go about our lives, reliving their days of antiquity, so they can sit back and say, "Aw, that's adorable."  This would be a validation of the popular Zoo Hypothesis.

The question this now opens up relates to quantum physics.  Often times when physicists observe something new, when they try to replicate their findings the subject of the experiment decides not to respond in the same way.  I call this The Morrissey Effect.  I named it after the singer who is reputed to have sold out many shows and then gotten stage fright and decided not to go out and perform.  Is there some consciousness within quantum physics that we are disturbing in our observations?  I am not saying I believe this, I am simply posing the question.

The Morrissey Effect
Morrissey fans waiting...

At this point in the conversation I bring it back around to my initial premise.  I say to Dr. Glascock, "Maybe [aliens] would be interested in some natural resources?"  I shrug my shoulders and push out my bottom lip, "Maybe they need labor?"  Maybe aliens would not want to trade with us.  But maybe I would never need a P95 facemask and then Bam!  COVID-19 hits us and thank God I had a respirator sealed up in its original packaging down in my Zombie Apocalypse Shelter.  Regardless of the likelihood of trade taking place, if it did, how would we do it?

I ask Dr. Glascock, "If there was something we could provide, what would we provide in exchange?  I mean, clearly, they have technology that we want.  And they could just simply give us something that is 20 years ahead of our technology, we'd be thrilled with it."  Think about traveling back the early 1990's and trading someone a smartphone for their monochrome desktop pc with 512kb of memory and dual floppy drives.  They would be doing backflips.  Hopefully they would not try to trade you front-row tickets to a Morrissey show instead.  Or maybe he was still with The Smiths at the time.  They were cool.  I can think of quite a few other bands I would like to see if I could go back, like maybe Nirvana or this guy.

I went on, "Meanwhile, they may be a million years ahead.  We don't know."

John begins his response talking about Faster-than-light (FTL) travel.  He expounds on the unfolding of space which is happening faster than the speed of light and how one would have to travel in a sort of pocket that would protect the body from inertial forces in order to get from there to here.  Man, I really did pick the right economist!  Then he brings it back around with, "The problem for trade becomes, if I'm that clever, I can manipulate everything.  I can make everything in the Universe.  I could make gold, silver, I could make food, I could make energy, it's just a matter of transferring energy to matter, matter to energy."  

Now Dr. Glascock addresses my question head-on.  "I suspect if we're that clever, machines do all the basic work.  All the people do (let's call them what they are) is there's kind of a thinking or control process that they run.  So they've gotten to the point where the way we think of constraints of labor, resources, simply doesn't exist.  And it's really unlikely that it will if you can move through space at that time."  John tells me to think about the knowledge it would take to move at FTL.  "The answer is you've solved these elementary problems."  The implication about all our knowledge at that point is, "We're gonna be pretty damned smart."


Video - Why Aliens would not trade with Humans

Again the answer is, "I don't think there's a way to trade 'cause I think they're just gonna observe us like us observing an ant."  He laughs, "We're gonna be the ant and they're gonna be the humans.  And we don't trade with ants."

Wait, what?  Did you say We are like Ants to Them?  I already wrote that story, Jonny.  

We are like Ants to Them
We are like Ants to Them

But still, are you saying that once a society reaches a certain level of technology there is nothing here on Earth that they would want?  He says yes, other than as an intellectual understanding how some other part of the Universe evolved.  "So let's roll forward with that," I say.  "People on Planet X have reached that level.  In a relatively short distance from them people on Planet Y could have also reached that point.  Neither one of those planets would have the need to trade with each other, correct?"

Dr. Glascock thinks, "At that point they would be really independent of each other.  The only trade that might occur at that level is there still may be some phenomenon in the Universe that they haven't figured out so they may want to cooperate to understand that last... they may want to try to figure that out but it won't likely be at the commodity level."

Back to Earth, Dr. Glascock says, "Even today, for example, how many tribes in Africa does the United States trade with?  Or the Aborigines in Australia?  Do you ever notice us thinking about trading with those two groups?  We won't because there's nothing they can offer us."

I suggested maybe some kind of craftwork.  I bought some when my grad school class went to South Africa.  It hangs on the wall of my office.  I lugged that stupid mask from Johannesburg to Cape Town and back and then back to New York.  It sucked.  But now I am glad I did.

African Art
African Art

John was kind enough to indulge me on this, "You could maybe think about it from an artistic point of view," but a society that comes here may be so much more advanced than us that they do not find our art to be art.  We are likely closer to the Aborigines than we are to aliens which is why we find value in their art.

It sounded like John may have been under the impression that all aliens are from the same place.  I offered that with all the thousands of eye-witness accounts of different types of spaceships, aliens are likely from many different species and societies.  He had a response for that too, "If they are smart and have good technology they of course should hide who they are by making it look to us like they're from different places.  As an Economist, we always look for the rational expectation answer."  

Dr. Glascock says there is no point to give away information.  He then gives the example of playing in the stock market, "If I'm trading in the marketplace, remember the good traders, long-term management capital, they were trading like ten different trades, one of them's real, the nine were shadow trades to keep the observers from knowing what the real trades were.  So if these people are this smart... it is not to their benefit to look the same every time."

That makes sense.  I do not agree it applies to every sighting but it makes me think of playing cards.  If you know you have a "tell" or a habit which alerts your opponents to the quality of the hand you hold, you may either cover up that tell or you may intentionally use it to indicate the opposite of what is in your hand.

This one time, I was in Atlantic City with my friend I have referred to in other blog posts as "G-man."  We were up all night.  Normally, I am fighting the Zzz Monster at 10:00pm so I do not know how I did this but we were still playing cards in the wee hours of the morning.  

I told G-man it was my last hand when I started falling asleep at the table.  I had to be woken up more than once when it was my turn.  Other players were getting angry.  But they ignored me and built up the pot, betting against each other.  I turned over my hand and won over $800.  I was done.  Time for bed.  But while I was raking in all my chips the dealer dealt me in another hand.  Since I had money to play with, I rolled with it.  The angry mob at the table counted me out because they figured the guy who was falling asleep just got lucky.  Being sleepy was my tell that night.  I played it.  I intentionally looked sleepy and disoriented in this next hand, even though I was now wide awake.  I called every raise between two other players who were duking it out with each other, barely noticing me.  Why not?  I won another $500.

Poker is all about bluffing your opponents.  I was not intentionally trying to look like I was falling asleep, at first.  I was really falling asleep.  I am a morning person, not a night owl.  But I sure had them all fooled that night.  It happened that I was dealt two good hands in a row.  But if I had really been trying hard to win those hands my opponents would likely have known I had good cards and they would have folded and I would not have won so much.  

Aliens have probably been down that road a few times.  (Maybe I should write an article titled, Do Aliens Play Poker?)  Dr. Glascock seems to think so, or some variation of it.  He says what aliens should do is, "They should have different kinds of ships, they should have different attributes, they should look like they came from different time periods..."

OK, let us have that conversation.  I said, back in Colonial Days, if you were a Native American in Massachusetts, you may have only known of the English.  Meanwhile, there were French, Spanish, and Dutch traders landing in other parts of the continent, each staking out their own claims.  If that same Indian stood on the shores of Cape Cod and saw a multi-masted sailing ship drop anchor in the harbor and unload men on horses it would be the most amazing thing he had ever seen.  His friends would have had difficulty believing him.  Debunkers would ask, "Are you sure it was a boat?  Could it have been a whale?  Maybe it was a Flock of Seagulls."  The Indian would say, "I know what I saw!"

At any rate, all these different nations were sailing here to The Americas, independent of each other.  Their ships had many similarities but each was distinct and could be identified or differentiated by a trained observer.  Perhaps this Indian would know the difference, perhaps not.

Back on topic, I asked Dr. Glascock if he was saying that we Earthans will someday reach the point where we no longer need to trade with each other, let alone other planets.  In this question, we assume there are still separate countries rather than one world government.  The response is, "We will probably want to trade so that we don't kill each other."

I agree.  This is the reason the European Union (originally the European Economic Community) was formed.  After two world wars in half a century the people of Europe decided the best way to avoid a third world war was to become so interdependent they would be forced to get along.  They did this through free trade, the same way the American states did amongst ourselves.  It would be unthinkable for New York to attack its tiny neighbor Vermont even though New York would kick Vermont's butt.  Yeah, take that, Vermont!  Maybe the same could not be said of every state.  I have met some guys from Texas who would love to take out Oklahoma.  But overall, free trade between the states has perhaps been the greatest uniting factor of the states.

Dr. Glascock says, "When you trade with people, you know people.  You are less likely to go to war."  He concludes that, "That kind of trade may be necessary in order to keep the society from breaking apart."  Then John cites Asimov's Trilogy.  

Back to commodities he believes we are close to being able to produce anything we want, like our alien visitors probably already can do.  We are beginning to crack the code of how to make gold or diamonds or even potatoes.  Money has to be something that is in limited supply.  If I had a machine that could make gold our whole system of valuating material items would be turned upside-down.  There would be no shortages of goods, "If we can get to that point..." John says.

What bothers him is we, as a society, may decide that this technology is something that should only benefit the wealthy or some other privileged few.  "That's a political issue, though, not a technological constraint," he says.  As an example of how this future may play out, Dr. Glascock says in Singapore everyone in the country has high-speed Internet for about $15 per month.  Think about what you pay for Internet and what quality you receive, now.  Our connection at my house goes down all the time, despite paying a fortune for the fastest service offered.  The reason, John says, is because America places a higher value on enriching corporate shareholders than on providing value to our citizens.  He says that aliens have probably gotten past that systemic hurdle.

Video - Why Aliens may or may not Trade
And how Humanity may mirror This


Interplanetary Trade


What if people on Planet X are green and people on Planet Y are blue and they do not like each other because of that?  Perhaps they feel the need to trade in order to get along with each other, like Europe did after World War II, I supposed to Dr. Glascock.  He agreed that may happen, "Either we're going to kill each other off or we're gonna solve that problem."  

Here is where Dr. Glascock gets to the most important take-away from the conversation, "As you go through technology over time there's gonna be a couple of bottlenecks I'm gonna call them, that are gonna require us to catch - we have to cooperate trade intellectually, scientifically, and quit competing in order to make that leap.  If we don't, the bottleneck's gonna kill us.  And I think, ever who gets to the point they can travel at the speed of light - my own view is they had to go through these and we know they got through them because they can travel at the speed of light.  Think about the intellectual ability it takes.  It's gonna take a lot of time for a lot of people to work on this puzzle to crack it.  And if we're fighting war all the time we can't be cracking that puzzle."

This was not where I had anticipated the conversation to stray but after reviewing the recording I found it to be mind-expanding to contemplate this concept.  Science fiction typically envisions people from other planets to be one people, united.  Yet here on Earth, we are many peoples.  Most people value our diversity within the United States.  Still, there is a deep vain of ethnocentricity here.  That feeling is compounded in other countries.  Worldwide, most nations want to be Number One, most ethnic groups as well.  At some point we will all need to unite if we are to solve our greatest challenges.  It seems right now our greatest challenge is getting to the point where we can begin to address those greater challenges.

Still, notwithstanding this new revelation in my pocket, I was not satisfied with the outcome of the conversation because John did not address my burning question of, how do we trade with aliens?  What currency would we use?  I threw another supposition at him.  What if people on Planet Z were only a couple hundred years ahead of us but they somehow acquired FTL technology.  Maybe they bought it or they reverse engineered a crashed spaceship, whatever.  Since they are only a couple hundred years ahead of us that would be a civilization that might want to trade with us, right John?

No, Dr. Glascock says, "They might want to wipe us out and conquer - take the Earth.  That's more like England going to India or China back in 'The First Globalization' where they exploited India and exploited China.  I think at that level they won't see us worth talking to they'll see us worth being exploited."

I was still not satisfied.  "Maybe they think that even though we're more primitive than they are, we're armed to the teeth and it would be a blood bath so they wanna figure out another way, they wanna trade."  Or maybe they are not more advanced than us.  There was an old SNL skit (I wish I could find a link to it) where aliens come to Earth and are talking about their technology which includes covered wagons.  It does not take long for the people of Earth to figure out the aliens found the spaceship and are actually over one hundred years behind us, technologically.

John was not biting, "It's all based on my premise.  If you could travel at faster than the speed of light, if you could bend space, we have no weapon that can harm them.  I mean, they can wipe us out so fast there would not be a war there'd just be a second and we'd be gone."  John has already discussed this issue with other intellectuals over beers.  He and his peers suspect that the folks who actually developed that technology would not allow this to happen.  If Planet Z were aggressive, why would Planet X allow them to grow with this more advanced technology?  

Video - Why Aliens would never share their Technology

I have suggested the same concept about life on Earth when people have asked if the spaceship I saw could have been some advanced prototype our military was testing.  I counter this with the fact that my sighting was three decades ago.  If we had the abilities that ship had, 28 years ago, we would have used it on the battlefield by now.  There would probably no longer be any American adversaries - maybe not even any independent countries.  The same could be said if most other nations possessed that technology.

Two years ago I wrote a series of articles related to this.  In Are we too Violent for Aliens and Snakes in a Box, I posit that humans are a violent, aggressive species.  Nearly every one of the 200-some countries has a military and most have used their militaries.  Why would any planet with FTL technology make contact with us?  If they did we would certainly ask them to share that technology with us.  Disagree?  If you have kids, put a box of cookies in a cabinet and tell the kids not to eat any.  I do not know how long it will take your kids to get into the cookies but they will.  If they do not sneak them one-by-one they will pester you ad nauseum until you give in.

Aliens know that one.  They know all the tricks.  In Why Don't Aliens Contact Us, I spelled it out clearly.  Aliens do not contact us because they know it is a trap.  We will acquire their technology one way or another and then turn it against them.  It has no doubt happened to them before - or maybe they were the ones who did it to someone else.  They will not allow it to happen again.

This then begs a bigger question, though.  If aliens do not want us to acquire the technology to wipe them out to the extent that they will observe us but refuse to contact us, would they take it a step further?  Would they actively work to stymie our efforts to advance?  Will they let us get a step ahead and then push us two steps back?  How would they do this?  Would they sabotage a company or University with a computer virus?  Would they sabotage humanity with a biological virus?  Would they sabotage our democracy with a human virus (insert politician of your choice)?

Perhaps we are indeed living in a version of  The Truman Show as I wrote in my article The Earth Show.  Our lives are scripted - not what we do on a day-to-day basis, but on a greater scale.  When we make the right choices, everything proceeds as planned.  When we do not, the show's Director makes it rain or introduces a new character to steer us back on course.

David Marceau Interviewing
Me Interviewing

I posit to John that a spaceship could crash and we could reverse engineer it.  Or someone else on Planet Z could do that.  Dr. Glascock says if that did occur, the more advanced society would simply wipe out the more primitive one before they had a chance to use that technology against them.

John wrapped up with a statement that some on #UFOTwitter will enjoy.  There is a subgroup, I will call it, that believes a conspiracy theory related to "the Military-Industrial Complex."  Some people believe that aliens could share with us the knowledge which will allow humanity to acquire energy for free.  This would then put all the energy companies out of business.  That is why the government will not disclose its knowledge of aliens because the Military Industrial Complex does not want to go out of business.

I do not subscribe to that point of view and Dr. Glascock reaffirms this.  As an economist he says aliens would never share that knowledge with the Earth's governments in the first place because then they would lose their competitive advantage over us.  But, he says, we may be on our way to reaching true energy independence on our own.  

Dr Glascock
Dr. Glascock saying, "You can quote me"

Before he decided to become an economist John was thinking of being a physicist.  That is why he knows so much about warping space and how aliens could possibly get from there to here, wherever there is.  He reads 8-10 books on physics every year in addition to all his science fiction and economics reading.  I wish I had the time he has.  Maybe I need to delete my Facebook account.  FB is a huge waste of time.

Dr. Glascock says, according to the books he reads and the conversations he has with other brilliant minds, Earth will achieve true energy independence within the next hundred years - much sooner if there is a coordinated effort similar to The Manhattan Project - then we could do it within 25 years.  There may be people or companies lobbying against this but there are plenty of scientists working on cracking it.  This is a problem Man will work out without the intervention of a smarter alien society.

Video - Dr. Glascock on Free Energy


The Marceau Paradox


My conversation with Dr. Glascock led me to several new conclusions.  

  • As much as I would like to think about it, and contrary to what many science fiction shows and movies would lead us to believe, aliens may not want to ever trade with us.  Therefore there may be no common currency we could use to buy or sell anything with aliens.  
  • Despite the thousands of eye-witness accounts of UFO sightings, aliens may never make official Contact with us.  We have nothing to offer them other than as subjects of observation and they do not want to mess up their science experiment (us) by intervening in our lives.
  • Although Lue Elizondo, Harry Reid, and others have confirmed the US government knows more about aliens than it admits, they probably do not possess alien technology that would lead us to energy independence - the aliens who developed this tech would not permit it.
  • It is possible that if we get too close to FTL, energy independence, or the ability to convert matter into any commodity, aliens may intervene to set us back so that we do not try to conquer or control them.  They would do this in a way we would not be able to detect so they do not piss us off and cause us to retaliate.
In developing The Marceau Paradox I have refuted some elements of The Fermi Paradox while adopting others.  My best reason for Why do they not make contact is a variation on The Zoo Hypothesis which I call The Earth Show Hypothesis, based on the movie The Truman Show.  Aliens will never make contact with us because it is more beneficial to them to observe us, however, it is a controlled experiment.  From time to time they may intervene in order to prevent us from harming them.


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If you have seen an alien spaceship or any type of unidentified flying object (UFO) contact me using the Contact form at the bottom of this page.  You may remain anonymous if you want.  I will not ridicule you or try to tell you why you are wrong.  I get it, I saw one too.

Thank you for reading and keep an eye on the sky.

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